96% of estates won't pay inheritance tax anyway
HM Treasury's own statement, reported in the MoneyWeek coverage of the HMRC FOI data: "More than 90% of estates each year will continue to pay no inheritance tax after these and other changes."
The actual figure from HMRC inheritance tax statistics is closer to 96%. Only around 27,000 estates per year currently trigger an IHT charge. Even with pensions added to the calculation, HMRC estimates this rises to roughly 38,500 — still just 4% of deaths.
Before you withdraw a penny, ask: is your estate actually above the threshold? The combined nil-rate band is £325,000 per person (£650,000 for a married couple), plus the residence nil-rate band of £175,000 each if you're leaving your home to direct descendants. That's £1 million for a couple before any IHT is due.
With the average UK house price at £299,677 according to Halifax as of March 2026, a couple would need a combined pension of over £700,000 on top of their home before IHT becomes a concern. Most defined contribution pensions in the UK are far smaller than that — the median pot at retirement is around £35,000, according to FCA retirement income data.
If your total estate — including your pension — is below £1 million, the April 2027 changes cost you nothing. The 116,000 people who withdrew at 55 include a significant number who panicked over a tax bill they were never going to face. Our tax planning hub explains the full IHT framework.