The Hidden Concentration Inside Every Index Fund
Market-cap weighting — the default for virtually every tracker fund — means the biggest companies get the biggest allocation. This sounds reasonable until you examine what it produces in practice:
- FTSE 100: Top 10 holdings = ~45% of the index. BP and Shell alone = ~9%. If oil prices crash, your tracker doesn't care — it keeps buying them at their new, larger weight after the crash.
- S&P 500: Top 10 holdings = ~36%. Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon — all tech, all correlated. Your global equity fund is 65%+ US stocks, and a chunk of that is seven megacap tech names.
- MSCI World: 70%+ US stocks by weight. The "world" in your global tracker is mostly America.
The FTSE Russell factsheet for the FTSE 100 updates constituent weights quarterly. Check it — the concentration has been increasing for a decade, not decreasing. In 2014, the top 10 were ~38% of the index. Today they're ~45%. Passive investing isn't diversifying you — it's concentrating you further every year.
An index fund buys more of what's already expensive and less of what's cheap. It's a momentum strategy disguised as passivity. When Tesla joined the S&P 500 in December 2020, trackers bought it at the peak of a 700% rally. Active managers had the option — the choice — to say "not at that price."