The Deposit Opportunity Cost Nobody Calculates Correctly
Put £45,000 into a £300,000 house and you control a leveraged asset. Put £45,000 into a Stocks & Shares ISA invested in a low-cost global index tracker and you have something else: liquidity, zero running costs, and no stamp duty.
At 7.2% annualised — the 30-year average for global equities — £45,000 becomes £261,000 in 25 years, inside an ISA wrapper, entirely tax-free. Add £300 per month (the difference between mortgage costs and cheaper rent in some areas) and the final figure crosses £550,000.
Now compare with the house. The £300,000 property appreciating at 2.9% real (the UK long-run average) reaches £615,000 nominal. Subtract the £255,000 mortgage, £178,000 in total interest paid, £12,500 stamp duty, roughly £75,000 in maintenance and insurance (1% per year), and £5,000 in selling costs. Your net: roughly £89,500.
£550,000 in an ISA versus £89,500 in house equity. The spread is over £460,000. That is not a rounding error.
Our Premium Bonds analysis showed the cost of mathematically suboptimal choices. Property ownership's opportunity cost dwarfs Premium Bonds by an order of magnitude.