The number that changed the case
Twelve months of UK 10-year gilt yields tell the story. The yield bottomed at 4.43% in February 2026 and ended March at 4.70% — the highest reading in two years. The ONS CPI print of 3.3% sits well below that yield, which means a buyer at par is locking in a ~1.4 percentage point real return for a decade, with no equity volatility attached.
[[CHART:line|UK 10-Year Gilt Yield, Last 12 Months (%)|{"labels":["Apr 25","May 25","Jun 25","Jul 25","Aug 25","Sep 25","Oct 25","Nov 25","Dec 25","Jan 26","Feb 26","Mar 26"],"datasets":[{"label":"10y Gilt Yield","data":[4.58,4.60,4.52,4.59,4.64,4.69,4.57,4.50,4.48,4.45,4.43,4.70]}]}]
For 25 years before 2022 a UK retiree could not get this. Gilts paid 1-2% nominal for most of the post-2008 era and were a portfolio diversifier, not an income asset. That world is over. The Challenger's argument that dividends compound past gilts assumes you accept market risk for an extra 0.5-1.0 percentage point of expected yield. At 4.70%, you do not need to.