The numbers that kill the equity argument
The Bank of England base rate sits at 3.75% after four consecutive cuts from 5.25%. But cash ISA providers haven't passed those cuts through. The best easy-access cash ISAs still pay 4.68% — nearly a full percentage point above base rate.
Put £20,000 into that cash ISA today. In twelve months, you'll have £20,936. Tax-free. Guaranteed. No ifs.
Now put that same £20,000 into a FTSE 100 tracker inside a stocks and shares ISA. Yes, the index is up 7% year-to-date — but it was up 15% before Iran. A single geopolitical event wiped out more than half the year's gains in weeks. Your £20,000 could be £18,400 by Christmas. Or £22,000. Nobody knows.
The investment industry calls this "volatility" as if it's a minor inconvenience. For someone saving a house deposit, funding next year's school fees, or building an emergency buffer, it's the difference between hitting a target and missing it entirely.
Compare that to the FTSE 100's annualised return since 2020. Through COVID, energy crisis, and now Iran, the index has delivered roughly 4% per year including dividends — barely matching a cash ISA. Factor in 0.3% in platform and fund fees, and the equity investor's net return drops below cash. For the recent experience of most first-time ISA holders, equities have been strictly worse than a high-interest savings account with none of the drama.
If you're weighing up where to put your money before April 5th, our comprehensive ISA guide breaks down exactly how allowances work across all four ISA types. The equity camp argues this approach costs you £137,000 — here's why that maths is misleading.