The Energy Bill Drop Is Real — For 90 Days
The [Ofgem price cap](https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/check-if-energy-price-cap-affects-you) for Q2 2026 sits at £1,641 per year for a typical dual-fuel household paying by Direct Debit. That's down from £1,758 in Q1 — a saving of £117 annually, or roughly £29 across the April-June quarter.
The breakdown reveals where the savings actually come from. Wholesale energy costs dropped by £38, and government policy levies fell by a significant £130 — the single biggest driver. But network costs rose by £66, partially eating into those gains. The electricity standing charge actually increased from 54.75p to 57.21p per day — meaning you're paying more just to be connected to the grid, regardless of usage.
Unit rates tell the real story:
- Electricity: 24.67p per kWh (down from 27.69p) — an 11% cut
- Gas: 5.74p per kWh (down from 5.93p) — a modest 3% reduction
- Electricity standing charge: 57.21p per day (UP from 54.75p)
- Gas standing charge: 29.09p per day (down from 35.09p)
The sting: Cornwall Insight forecasts the cap will jump to £1,929 from July — an 18% increase driven by the Iran war's impact on global energy markets. If you hedged into a cheap fixed energy tariff earlier this year, you're already ahead. Anyone still on a standard variable tariff who relaxes their energy usage this spring will pay for it in the autumn. The Guardian reports energy bills could approach £2,000 a year by summer. Three months of relief, followed by what could be the most expensive winter since the 2022 crisis.