The FTSE 100 Is Not the UK Economy — It's a Museum of 20th Century Capitalism
The FTSE 100's sector composition tells you everything. Financials, energy, and basic materials — banking, oil, and mining — dominate the index. Technology? Barely registers. The UK's genuine tech success stories — ARM Holdings (delisted in 2016), Sage, Darktrace (taken private) — are either gone from the public markets or too small to move the needle.
This isn't pedantry. It means that when you buy a FTSE 100 tracker:
- You are making a massive bet on oil prices. Shell and BP alone account for roughly 15% of the index. A sustained oil price fall — entirely possible given the global energy transition — hits your tracker hard.
- You are making a massive bet on UK interest rates. Banks (HSBC, Barclays, Lloyds, NatWest) are another 12-15%. Rate cuts squeeze their net interest margins.
- You have almost no exposure to what actually grows. The UK's vibrant fintech, biotech, and software sectors are either privately held or listed on AIM, where they sit outside the FTSE 100 entirely.
An active manager can simply decide to own less of Shell and more of, say, Games Workshop — a UK mid-cap that has returned over 15,000% since 2000. Your index fund cannot.